The high tension on the line of contact in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict zone will not translate into a real war, but the situation will be worsening, the director of the Yerevan-based Caucasus Institute, Alexander Iskandaryan said today.
"This does not mean that this situation will last forever. I do not think there is a serious threat of military action now,' Iskandaryan said in comments on the possible impact of the exacerbating economic situation in Azerbaijan on developments in the Karabakh conflict zone.
According to him, Azerbaijan has a rational reason to commit acts of sabotage and shootouts and it will be extremely difficult to make it stop this behavior.
The Nagorno-Karabakh conflict erupted into armed clashes after the collapse of the Soviet Union in the early 1990s as the predominantly Armenian-populated enclave of Azerbaijan sought to secede from Azerbaijan and declared its independence backed by a successful referendum. A truce was brokered by
Russia in 1994, although no permanent peace agreement has been signed.
Since then, Nagorno-Karabakh and several adjacent regions have been under the control of Armenian forces of Karabakh. Nagorno-Karabakh is the longest-running post-Soviet era conflict and has continued to simmer despite the relative peace of the past two decades, with snipers causing tens of deaths a year.
Source: Arka News Agency