SEOUL – With the U.S. presidential election a year away and polls indicating a potential win for former President Donald Trump, South Korea faces the need to develop a diplomatic plan B. The prospect of Trump's return raises concerns over changes in U.S. foreign policy, particularly regarding trade protectionism, isolationism, and relations with North Korea.
According to Yonhap News Agency, Trump's potential re-election, despite undergoing multiple criminal trials, reflects a unique aspect of American politics. His policies, based on his recent statements, would likely lead to severe trade protectionism and a shift towards isolationism, including the promise to end the Russia-Ukraine war swiftly. His approach to the North Korean nuclear crisis, based on his previous tenure, remains uncertain but may be more favorable to Pyongyang compared to the current U.S. administration.
The Korea Times editorial highlights the implications of a Trump presidency for South Korea. Trump's non-interventionism might appeal to authoritarian leaders, but it could pose challenges for South Korea, particularly regarding its defense burden. Under Trump, South Korea might be urged to increase its self-defense capabilities against North Korea's conventional forces.
The possibility of Seoul being excluded from U.S.-North Korea nuclear talks and the impact on the Washington Declaration are also concerns. The Yoon administration's recent hawkish stance against North Korea and alignment with U.S. policies against China and Russia might be jeopardized under a Trump presidency.
The editorial emphasizes the need for Seoul to prepare for these potential shifts in U.S. foreign policy and develop strategies to maintain its security and diplomatic interests in a rapidly changing global political landscape.